Abu Dhabi Residential Sales Value Could Reach AED 140bn In 2026
Abu Dhabi’s residential real estate market is set for sustained growth in 2026, driven by renewed buyer confidence, infrastructure expansion and a maturing investor base, according to Metropolitan Capital Real Estate, a leading real estate agency based in the Capital.
EvgenyRatskevich, Chief Executive Officer of Metropolitan Capital Real Estate, said:
“Abu Dhabi’s property market is entering a more mature phase of growth. In 2026, activity will be driven less by speculation and more by end-users and long-term investors seeking stability, quality of life and predictable returns. The combination of disciplined pricing, infrastructure delivery and limited supply in prime locations supports a sustainable outlook across both mid-market and high-end segments.”
The off-plan residential segment is expected to be a key growth engine, with unit sales forecast to rise by 20–50% year-on-year compared to 2025. Total off-plan sales value could reach AED 120–140 billion in 2026, supported by a robust pipeline of around 11,000 units scheduled for delivery. The rebound follows a sharp slowdown in early 2025 and is underpinned by improved payment plans, more realistic pricing, population inflows and enhanced connectivity, including major transport infrastructure developments.
Demand for off-plan properties is expected to remain concentrated in Yas Island and surrounding areas, Al Reem Island, Al Ghadeer, Masdar City, Saadiyat Island and the Marina District, where lifestyle appeal, connectivity and long-term investment fundamentals remain strong. Off-plan prices are projected to rise modestly by 3–6% through 2026, reflecting market stabilization rather than rapid appreciation.
In the secondary market, resale prices across key Abu Dhabi neighborhoods are forecast to rise by 3–5% in 2026, with apartment prices averaging AED 1,130–1,365 per sq ft. Transaction volumes are expected to remain stable to moderately higher, with growth of 10–20%, driven by limited ready-unit supply, strong end-user demand and a growing preference for move-in-ready homes in well-established communities.
Buyer preferences in the resale segment are increasingly focused on larger units, villas and townhouses, quality finishes and established communities with strong infrastructure, schools and transport links, reinforcing demand for family-oriented developments.
The ultra-luxury segment is expected to remain resilient, with stable to modest growth in sales and rentals. Waterfront villas on Saadiyat and Yas Islands, high-rise penthouses and gated-community mansions are likely to see the strongest demand, supported by limited supply, lifestyle appeal and Abu Dhabi’s reputation as a safe and stable investment destination. Motivation in this segment is shifting further toward lifestyle, long-term residency and wealth preservation rather than short-term speculation.
